Page 27 - HPIC-Magazine (Feb-2021)
P. 27

Cover Story


                                                                            company’s other luxury brands in the
                                                                            first quarter of 2020.


                                                                            Impact on ingredients
                                                                               Ingredient demand, according
                                                                            to Kline, will closely follow product
                                                                            consumption trends. Consequently,
                                                                            ingredient groups such as UV absor-
                                                                            bers, pigments, and hair fixative poly-
                                                                            mers that are used, respectively, in
                                                                            sun care products, makeup products,
                                                                            and  hair styling  products  could  be
                                                                            hit the hardest. Conversely, ingredi-
                                                                            ents such as preservation solutions,
                                                                            emollients, and mild-surfactant pro-
                                                                            ducts are expected to have sustained
                                                                            if not exceptional growth due to the
                                                                            heightened use of hand soaps and
                                                                            sanitizers.
                       Fig. 3: COVID-19 – probable impact on ingredients
        Source: Kline                                                          Thus, the skin care segment
                                            Growth outlook for ingredients
         Ingredient group COVID-19 growth outlook

         Antimicrobials  Key ingredients of the formulation “chassis,” antimicrobials are essential and therefore will
                         continue to be used across all product categories. Kline also expects additional volumes coming
                         from lotion and hand sanitizer applications.
         Surfactants     Surfactants are largely used in rinse-off formulations (hair care and cleansers), which are proven
                         to be more resilient products during recessions.

         Emollients      Typically used in skin care formulation, this group also includes a significant proportion of
                         humectants used in oral care products (40% in volume). Emollients could be impacted by a decline
                         in professional and premium consumer products.
         Rheology control  Ingredients mainly used in oral care. Skin care, and hair care products account for a third of
         agents          overall volumes. While there will be some mild moderation in consumer frequency of use, stable
                         moderate growth is expected.

         Emulsifiers     Three-quarters of volumes are used in skin care products (leave-on); decline is anticipated due
                         to a fall-off in sales of premium skin care, mitigated by mass, masstige and budget products.
         Conditioning    These ingredients are mainly used in hair care, followed by skin care, antiperspirant, and
         polymers        deodorant products. Categories will be mainly impacted by the pressure on leave-on hair care
                         products.

         UV absorbers    Sun care products will suffer from the negative impact on recreational activities and tourism;
                         therefore, UV absorbers will likely be among the deepest impacted.
         Hair fixative   The consumption of hair fixative polymers – used in hair styling products – is expected to drop
         polymers        due to both a decline in consumer product uses and salon services. This ingredient category
                         could be among the most adversely impacted.
         Colour cosmetic   Formulated in makeup and hair colorants, ingredient consumption will dip due to a decline in
         ingredients     use/frequency of use and a sharp decline in the professional salon industry.
        Source: Kline
         Home, Personal & Institutional Care India  February 2021                                         27
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